The Sovereign Wealth Dump
Major sovereign wealth funds dump US assets in parallel after a geopolitical rupture, detonating bond and equity correlations.
After a sudden geopolitical rupture in the Gulf, several of the world's largest sovereign wealth funds begin liquidating US Treasuries, tech equities, and private-credit positions at once. Markets had assumed these pools were permanent capital; instead they have become synchronized emergency sellers.
You are the Chair of the Federal Reserve
The Situation Room
>Primary dealers report that bid depth is vanishing across both bonds and stocks simultaneously.
>Large pension funds are now facing forced collateral calls because their "safe" and "risky" assets are collapsing together.
>The White House wants to know whether you can stop the liquidation without rewarding foreign coercion.
Internal Briefing Notes
• Sovereign wealth funds are so large that their emergency repositioning can overwhelm normal market-making capacity.
• If Treasuries and equities both sell off together, portfolio hedges fail and leverage unwinds accelerate on their own.
• Central-bank intervention can restore function, but not confidence in the political durability of the underlying market structure.
Escalation Window
Reveal each phase to see how the situation deteriorates.
The liquidation is becoming a referendum on US market stability. What do you do?
Choose your response. There are no good options.
You may stop the panic, but effectively nationalize the market's downside once again.
You preserve moral hazard discipline, but risk a disorderly seizure of the entire financial system.
You might stop the selling at the source, but markets may collapse before diplomacy catches up.
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