The Indus Water War

India diverts Indus tributaries during a drought. Pakistan declares it an act of war. Two nuclear powers face off over water.

Breaking Event

After three consecutive failed monsoons, India announces the emergency diversion of three Indus tributaries allocated to Pakistan under the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty to supply its own drought-stricken northern states. Pakistan's military high command declares the diversion "an act of war equivalent to a nuclear first strike on our agriculture" and mobilizes armored divisions to the Line of Control.

You are the UN Secretary-General

The Situation Room

>Pakistan's army chief states publicly that nuclear weapons exist precisely for existential threats — and 180 million people losing their water supply qualifies.

>India's Prime Minister insists the diversion is a temporary humanitarian measure and refuses to reverse it while Indian farmers are dying.

>China, which controls the headwaters of several rivers feeding the Indus system through Tibetan dams, has gone conspicuously silent.

Internal Briefing Notes

• The Indus river system provides water for 90% of Pakistan's agriculture and 65% of its population.

• Both nations possess approximately 160 nuclear warheads each, with delivery systems capable of reaching each other's capitals in under 10 minutes.

• The 1960 Indus Waters Treaty has survived three wars but contains no enforcement mechanism beyond the International Court of Justice.

Escalation Window

1 Week— Locked

2 Weeks— Locked

Reveal each phase to see how the situation deteriorates.

Two nuclear powers are escalating toward war over water. You have one chance to intervene. What is your play?

Choose your response. There are no good options.

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Demand India reverse the diversion under Chapter VII. India vetoes or ignores it, permanently damaging the UN's authority.

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Offer Pakistan massive humanitarian aid in exchange for accepting reduced flows. Pakistan's military rejects anything that legitimizes India's unilateral action.

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Beijing controls upstream Tibetan headwaters and could pressure India. But inviting China in gives it permanent leverage over South Asian water politics.