Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify. To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public. The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.
This chart shows market-implied probability over time, aggregated from public prediction markets.
Links to prediction markets may include referral attribution.
Estimated payouts based on current odds. Actual payouts vary based on liquidity. Not financial advice.
The IEA has recommended a record 400 million barrel oil release to stabilize global markets amid the ongoing conflict involving Iran.
Iran threatens to close the Strait of Hormuz, warning of $200 oil prices as 400 million barrels are released from global reserves.
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