BitBoy convicted?0.0%(16%)

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?0.0%(59%)

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?0.0%(43%)

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%(57%)

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?0.0%(11%)

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?0.0%(35%)

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%(15%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?0.0%(9%)

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?0.0%(12%)

Will Player E win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%(50%)

BitBoy convicted?0.0%(16%)

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?0.0%(59%)

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?0.0%(43%)

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%(57%)

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?0.0%(11%)

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?0.0%(35%)

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%(15%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?0.0%(9%)

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?0.0%(12%)

Will Player E win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%(50%)

Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more

PoliticsUpdated less than a minute ago

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

6.5%

This chart shows market-implied probability over time, aggregated from public prediction markets.

Probability Over Time

Current implied probability

6.5%

Data Sources

Polymarket6.5%

View on Polymarket

Links to prediction markets may include referral attribution.

"What If" Payout Calculator

If you bet...

Bet YES

$1538.46

Profit: $1438.46+1438% ROI

Bet NO

$106.95

Profit: $6.95+7% ROI

Trade this on Polymarket

Estimated payouts based on current odds. Actual payouts vary based on liquidity. Not financial advice.

Market Info

CategoryPolitics

ResolutionOct 31, 2026

Last Updatedless than a minute ago

Where to Trade

Polymarket

Largest prediction market by volume. Crypto-based.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?▾

As of March 14, 2026, prediction markets give this a 6.5% implied probability, aggregated from Polymarket.

How are these probabilities calculated?▾

PoliticaHub aggregates real-money prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket. The displayed probability reflects what traders are actually betting, not polls or expert opinion.

Has the probability for "Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?" changed recently?▾

The probability has been stable over the last 24 hours, suggesting no significant new information has been priced in by traders.

Where can I trade on "Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?▾

This market is available on Polymarket. PoliticaHub is a data aggregator and does not facilitate trading. Visit the source platforms directly to place trades.

Market Updates

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Where to Trade

Frequently Asked Questions

Explore More

See what the money knows
before the news breaks.

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Where to Trade

Frequently Asked Questions

Explore More

See what the money knows before the news breaks.

See what the money knows
before the news breaks.