Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
This chart shows market-implied probability over time, aggregated from public prediction markets.
Chart data loading
Historical data is being collected for this market.
Links to prediction markets may include referral attribution.
Estimated payouts based on current odds. Actual payouts vary based on liquidity. Not financial advice.
Links may include referral parameters. PoliticaHub may earn a commission at no cost to you. See our disclaimer.
Join traders getting our automated weekly wrap-up of the biggest prediction market divergences.