Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
This chart shows market-implied probability over time, aggregated from public prediction markets.
Links to prediction markets may include referral attribution.
Estimated payouts based on current odds. Actual payouts vary based on liquidity. Not financial advice.
Links may include referral parameters. PoliticaHub may earn a commission at no cost to you. See our disclaimer.
Join traders getting our automated weekly wrap-up of the biggest prediction market divergences.