Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This chart shows market-implied probability over time, aggregated from public prediction markets.
Links to prediction markets may include referral attribution.
Estimated payouts based on current odds. Actual payouts vary based on liquidity. Not financial advice.
The Israeli military has dropped charges against soldiers accused of abusing a Palestinian detainee at Sde Teiman military prison, citing "exceptional circumstances."
Mojtaba Khamenei has been appointed Iran’s Supreme Leader as the U.S.-Israel conflict enters its tenth day, triggering a spike in global oil prices.
An analysis of the structural patterns of mission creep and strategic ambiguity in the ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran regional conflict.
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