Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Sarkozy is confined in a jail or prison for any length of time between November 10, 2025, 1:30 PM ET, and March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". House arrest will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the detaining government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This chart shows market-implied probability over time, aggregated from public prediction markets.
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