Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This chart shows market-implied probability over time, aggregated from public prediction markets.
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