Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
Educational visualization only. This is not gambling, financial advice, or political advocacy. Learn more
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
This chart shows market-implied probability over time, aggregated from public prediction markets.
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