AI Policy Markets

Artificial intelligence regulation, milestones, and technology prediction markets.

AI Policy Markets

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Macron out in 2025?

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Macron out by October 31, 2025?

Will the next UK election be called by March 31?

Will the next UK election be called by December 31?

Will the next UK election be called by June 30?

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

China x India military clash by December 31?

China x India military clash by June 30?

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

Starmer out in 2025?

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Ukraine election called in 2025?

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?

Will any country leave NATO in 2025?

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

BitBoy convicted?

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?

Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?

Spain snap election called in 2025?

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

US x Russia military clash by December 31?

US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

US x Russia military clash by January 31, 2026?

US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?