China Market Index

US-China relations, trade tensions, and geopolitical prediction markets.

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NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?

LIVE

0.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Starmer out in 2025?

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0.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

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Ukraine election called in 2025?

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Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will any country leave NATO in 2025?

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Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

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0.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

BitBoy convicted?

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14.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

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0.0%

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Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

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0.0%

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Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

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58.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

GTA VI released before June 2026?

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2.1%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

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40.9%

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Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?

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0.0%

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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

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Spain snap election called in 2025?

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US x Russia military clash by December 31?

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Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

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Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?

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Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?

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0.0%

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Will Russia capture Sumy before October?

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Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?

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0.0%

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Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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56.5%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

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10.5%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

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36.5%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30?

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0.0%

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MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

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1.4%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by September 30?

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0.0%

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Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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15.3%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

US recognize Somaliland in 2025?

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0.0%

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Xi Jinping out before 2027?

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8.7%

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Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

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1.6%

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Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

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10.5%

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Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

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0.9%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will Player E win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

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50.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

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2.5%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

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2.2%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will Person K win the 2026 Republican Primary?

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50.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

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44.5%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will another party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

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50.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?

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0.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

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42.5%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

LIVE

21.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

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0.1%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

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22.0%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

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48.5%

Polymarketless than a minute ago

China Market Index

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Macron out in 2025?

Will the next UK election be called by March 31?

China x India military clash by December 31?

Related Hubs

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?

Starmer out in 2025?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ukraine election called in 2025?

Will any country leave NATO in 2025?

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

BitBoy convicted?

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

Spain snap election called in 2025?

US x Russia military clash by December 31?

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?

Will Russia capture Sumy before October?

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by September 30?

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

US recognize Somaliland in 2025?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Player E win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Person K win the 2026 Republican Primary?

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will another party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?